Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 102.820638 118.293715 136.590245 160.185058 190.363203 228.486464 281.704437
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 89.853706 111.402660 140.099306 182.780936 247.988582 350.672483 542.540209
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 77.023320 99.391634 131.203331 182.697505 270.954312 433.967713 824.336377
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 67.808953 89.999682 123.086528 180.165975 287.408146 515.022082 1215.147290
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 60.733474 82.346836 115.767566 176.424644 299.496674 595.648449 1780.328241
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.850083 77.197231 111.323839 176.295032 318.484648 709.349325 2886.563760
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 51.989969 73.083413 107.814909 176.882025 339.313839 851.244164 5205.250092
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 47.592675 67.593766 101.131107 169.676772 338.614165 924.194240 8140.576176
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 45.824127 66.191223 101.388480 176.749307 378.444364 1216.440476 30520.530798
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 42.621262 62.060943 96.144854 170.800149 379.134787 1335.362111 93444.988693
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 40.716989 59.967763 94.425875 172.437690 404.206657 1653.525070 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.541954 57.215034 91.125720 169.722981 414.199129 1912.053964 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 37.760034 57.101316 93.446385 182.614631 494.203183 3270.343153 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.081794 59.054953 100.373225 210.392550 671.845121 10009.186161 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.128045 56.560080 97.547242 210.282504 721.462959 17986.593434 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.185708 53.906916 94.019342 207.167051 753.658567 32952.952740 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.351226 51.309355 90.300946 202.570494 774.443683 65139.495754 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.975470 49.492946 88.129377 202.411433 828.139672 320708.106828 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.777398 47.929350 86.349420 203.131895 893.277327 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.148723 45.398433 82.051879 194.305339 872.212242 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.593287 44.975726 82.688063 202.968978 1023.476309 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.268909 42.905612 79.147922 195.679050 1011.002858 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.496759 41.915564 78.147238 197.683122 1106.595594 NaN NaN